Unconventional Economic Policies and Sentiment: an International Assessment

Présentation de Céline Gimet - IEP, Sciences-Po Aix

2019-03-07_gimet-celine

Céline Gimet
En collaboration avec Marie-Hélène Gagnon (FSA Faculty of Business Administration, Université Laval, Quebec, Canada)

Abstract. This paper estimates, using structural VARs, the spillover effects of unconventional fiscal and monetary policies implemented in the United States and in the Eurozone during the last decade. Consumer confidence and investor sentiment indicators are introduced in the models in order to highlight the signalling channel in the responses to economic policy innovations in time of crisis. The results reveal that policy measures that increase confidence strengthened the cross-country macroeconomic linkages in time of crisis recovery in a zero lower bound context. Moreover, a transparent and harmonized policy mix between the countries is a prerequisite for ensuring short-term growth after a global financial crisis.

Keywords: unconventional monetary policies; fiscal policies; international spillovers, investors sentiment; consumer confidence, SBVAR model.

Classification: E52; E62; F42, C32.